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2018.11.16

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TO: - CBO RADIO/ SL NAVY/ FISHERIES/ COAST GUARD/ CBO PORT

FROM: - MET CBO       DATE: - 16-11 -2018
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FLEET FORECAST

FLEET FORECAST FOR AREA E : 16/0600Z.  - 1400Z.

THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘GAJA’ OVER THE SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL IS

FURTHER MOVED WEST- SOUTHWEST WARDS AND CROSSED THAMILANDU AND PUDUCHERRY COAST OF SOUTH INDIA DURING 0030 HRS AND 0230 HRS ON
NOVEMBER 2018. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N, 79.7E RPT 10.4N , 79.7E
AT 15/2100 UTC.

THE SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WESTWARDS AND WEAKEN IN TO A CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 06 HRS.

INTERMITTENT SHOWERS/ THUNDERSHOWERS, VERY STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH

SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 2 – 3 DEGREES OF THE ABOVE CENTRE.

NORTH LIMIT OF ITCZ IS APPROX ALONG: 03N60E, 02N70E, 01N80E,02N90E , 03N100E

SOUTH LIMIT OF ITCZ IS APPROX ALONG: 02S60E, 02S70E,0280E,03S90E, 03S100E

WINDS

NORTH OF NORTH LIMIT OF ITCZ:

WEST OF 66E : N’ LY TO NE’LY/05 – 15 KTS.

INBETWEEN 66E AND 85E : NW’LY TO SW’LY/10-20KTS , GUSTING UP TO   25-30 KTS

                                         IN SECTION 05.
EAST OF 85 E : VRB / 10 -15 KTS
                                               
IN BETWEEN LIMITS OF ITCZ:
               WEST OF 75E : NW’ LY TO W’LY/05 – 15 KTS.
               EAST OF 75E : W’LY TO SW’ LY / 05 -15 KTS.


SOUTH OF SOUTH LIMIT OF ITCZ:
               WEST OF 84E :SE’LY /10-20KTS
               INBETWEEN 84E AND 94E : CLOCKWISE/15-25 KTS. GUSTING UPTO 30-35 KTS
                                             IN SECTION 70,75,85
             EAST OF 95E : NW’LY TO NE’LY/10-20 KTS

WEATHER

           OCNL SHOWERS/ T’SHOWERS IN SECTION 15

           SCT SHOWERS/ T’SHOWERS IN SECTION 05,10,35,50,70,75

           ISOL SHOWERS/ T’SHOWERS IN SECTION 00,20,25,30,40,45,55,60,65,80,85


SEAS

           ROUGH IN SECTION 70,80,85

           FAIRLY ROUGH TO ROUGH IN SECTION 50,55,65,75

           MODERATE FAIRLY ROUGH IN SECTION 05,10,30,35
           SLIGHT TO MODERATE ELSEWHERE   STOP

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