Fleet Forecast for Area - E
Issued by the National Meteorological Center, Department of Meteorology, Sri Lanka.
Valid period: 2020.11.30/1400UTC to 2020.12.01/0600UTC
Issued at 1200UTC on 2020.11.30
To: CBO Radio/Fisheries/SL Navy/CBO Port/Coast Guard
The low-pressure area in the south-east Bay of Bengal has concentrated into a depression lay centred 680 km southeast to Trincomaleeat 1130hrs today. The system is very likely to intensified into a deep depression during next 12 hours and likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm during the subsequent 12 hours.
This system is very likely to move west-northwestwards and cross eastern coast of Sri Lanka between Batticaloa and Mullativ around Wednesday (02) evening.
Synoptic situation: -
Shear line is approximately along: 01S 60E, EQ 70E, 06N 80E, 06N 90E,05N 100E.
ITCZ is approximately along: 05S 60E, 06S 70E, 08S 80E, 07S 90E, 06S 100E.
North of Shear line:
West of 73E: NE’ly to E’ly / (05-15) kts.
In-between 71E and 76E: NE’ly to N’ly / (05-15) kts
In-between 76E and 95E: Cyclonic / (10-20) kts; gusting up to 35kts in sections 05 and 10.
East of 95E: NE’ly / (10-20) kts; gusting up to 35kts in section 15.
In between Shear line and ITCZ:
West of 80E: NW’ly or W’ly / (05-15) kts; gusting up to 25kts in sections 65.
In-between 80E and 95E: W’ly to SW’ly / (10-20) kts.
East of 95E: VRB / (05-15) kts.
South of ITCZ:
West of 70E: S’ly to NW’ly / (10-20) kts.
In-between 70E and 80E: SE’ly to NW’ly / (10-20) kts, gusting up to 25kts in section 80.
In-between 80E and 91E: Clockwise / (10-20) kts, gusting up to 30kts in section 85.
East of 91E: SE’ly to NW’ly/ (10-25) kts.
Intermittent showers/T’showers in sections: 10, 30, 35 and 55
OCNL showers/T’showers in sections: 40, 45, 55, 65, 80 and 85
SCT Showers / T’Showers in sections: 15, 25, 60, 70 and 75
ISOL Showers / T’Showers in sections: 05, 25, 30
Mainly fair weather elsewhere.
Fairly rough, very rough at times in section 05 and 10.
Fairly rough, rough at times in sections 80 and 85.
Moderate, fairly rough at times in sections 15 ,55 and 75
Moderate in sections 35
Slight to moderate elsewhere
The next Fleet Forecast will be issued at 0000 UTC 2020.12.01