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WARNING

2022-12-10

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ADVISORY

2022-12-09

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FF-18
FLEET FORECAST
Fleet Forecast for Area - E
Issued by the National Meteorological Center, Department of Meteorology Sri Lanka.
Valid period: 2022.12.09/1400UTC to 2022.12.10/0600UTC
Issued at 1200UTC on 2022.12.09

To: CBO Radio/Fisheries/SL Navy/CBO Port/Coast Guard

TThe Cyclonic Storm “Mandous” over Southwest Bay of Bengal was located 230km east-northeast of Jaffna near latitude 11.4N and longitude 81.3E at 11.30am today (09). This system is very likely to move northwestwards and cross North Tamil-Nadu, Puducherry and South Andhra Pradesh coast over Southwest Bay of Bengal around night hours of 09th December.

Under the influence of this system, the deep and shallow sea areas of northern and eastern coast will be very rough to high with very strong gusty winds and heavy rain.


Synoptic situation:
ITCZ is approximately along : 01S 60E, EQ 70E, 03N 80E, 05N 90E, 01N 100E
Shear line is approximately along : 05S 60E, 05S 70E, 09S 80E, 03S 90E, 06S 100E


Winds:
North of ITCZ
West of 80E :NW'ly to W'ly/(10-15)kts; gusting up to (25-30) kts in sections 05 and 25.
In between 80E and 90E :Anticlockwise/(15-25)kts; gusting up to (30-35)kts in section 10 and 30.
East of 90E :NW'ly or VRB/(05-25)kts.

In between ITCZ and Shear line : SW'ly/(10-20)kts, gusting up to (25-30) kts in sections 45 and 50.


South of Shear line :E'ly to SE'ly/(15-20)kts; gusting up to 25kts in section 70, 75, 80 and 85.


Weather:
OCNL Showers / T’Showers in sections : 20, 25, 30, 40, 45 and 75
SCT Showers / T’Showers in sections : 10 and 70
ISOL Showers / T’Showers elsewhere.

Seas:
Rough, Very rough at times in sections :10, 25 and 30
Fairly rough to rough :05, 45, 50, 70, 75, 80, and 85
Moderate elsewhere.


**Seas can be temporarily very rough during thundershowers.

============================End===============================================
The next Fleet Forecast will be issued at 0000 UTC 2022.12.10